2022 Euclean presidential election: Difference between revisions

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File:Alina Gorghiu 44.jpg|'''[[Amelia Ifriu]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Mixed Radical Left|GRM]] - [[Amathia]]}}
File:Alina Gorghiu 44.jpg|'''[[Amelia Ifriu]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Mixed Radical Left|GRM]] - [[Amathia]]}}
File:Brine Ó Slatiascaig.jpg|'''[[Brine Ó Scolaidhe]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Green and Ecologist Movement|MVE]] - [[Caldia]]}}
File:Brine Ó Slatiascaig.jpg|'''[[Brine Ó Scolaidhe]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Green and Ecologist Movement|MVE]] - [[Caldia]]}}
File:tbd.jpg|'''[[tbd]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Friends of the Animals|AA]] - [[tbd]]}}
File:Sylvia Pinel 2013.jpg|'''[[Adèle Harnie]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Friends of the Animals|AA]] - [[Hennehouwe]]}}
File:tbd.jpg|'''[[tbd]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Absurdist International|IA]] - [[tbd]]}}
File:tbd.jpg|'''[[tbd]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Absurdist International|IA]] - [[tbd]]}}
File:Santiago Abascal 2022 (cropped).jpg|'''[[António de Armas]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Movement for a New Democratic Euclea|MNED]] - [[Paretia]]}}
File:Santiago Abascal 2022 (cropped).jpg|'''[[António de Armas]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Movement for a New Democratic Euclea|MNED]] - [[Paretia]]}}
File:Official portrait of Lord Ryder of Wensum crop 2.1.jpg|'''[[Ạþelviġne Vycces]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Alliance for a Federal and Regionalist Euclea|AEFR]] - [[Estmere]]}}
File:Official portrait of Lord Ryder of Wensum crop 2.1.jpg|'''[[Ạþelviġne Vycces]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Alliance for a Federal and Regionalist Euclea|AEFR]] - [[Estmere]]}}
File:Emilia Koopmann.jpeg|'''[[Emilia Koopmann]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Forward Euclea|Avant]] - [[Werania]]}}
File:Emilia Koopmann.jpeg|'''[[Emilia Koopmann]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Forward Euclea|Avant]] - [[Werania]]}}
File:tbd.jpg|'''[[tbd]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Stop the War|AG]] - [[tbd]]}}
File:Raphael Glucksmann (cropped).jpg|'''[[Jacques Mignard]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Stop the War|AG]] - [[Gaullica]]}}
File:Sebastian_Kurz_(2018-02-28)_(cropped).jpg|'''[[Vivien Vallette]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Socialist Alternative for Euclea|ASE]] - [[Gaullica]]}}
File:Sebastian_Kurz_(2018-02-28)_(cropped).jpg|'''[[Vivien Vallette]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Socialist Alternative for Euclea|ASE]] - [[Gaullica]]}}
File:Lars_Løkke_Rasmussen_(2009).jpg|'''[[Georg Torleif Årbakke]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Alliance of Conservatives and Democrats for Euclea|ACDE]] - [[Scovern]]}}
File:Lars_Løkke_Rasmussen_(2009).jpg|'''[[Georg Torleif Årbakke]]'''<br/>{{small|[[Alliance of Conservatives and Democrats for Euclea|ACDE]] - [[Scovern]]}}

Revision as of 22:09, 2 November 2022

2022 Euclean presidential election

← 2017 7-10 October 2022 (1st round)
4-7 November 2022 (2nd round)
2027 →

725 members of the electoral college
363 electoral votes needed to win
Turnout66.96% (first round) Increase3.72 pp
  Sebastian Kurz (2018-02-28) (cropped).jpg Lars Løkke Rasmussen (2009).jpg
Nominee Vivien Vallette Georg Torleif Årbakke
Alliance ASE ACDE
Home state Gaullica Scovern
Electoral vote 207 (R1) 173 (R1)
States carried 7 (R1) 3 (R1)
Popular vote 54,851,579 (R1) 41,109,451 (R1)
Percentage 29.51% (R1) 22.12% (R1)

2022 euclean presidential election map 1st round.svg
Map of the results of the Euclean presidential election by member state in the first round

President before election

Alastrí Nic Ualtair
Avant

Elected President

TBD

The 2022 Euclean presidential election is the 4th quinquennial election of the President of the Euclean Community, with the first round held between 7 and 10 October 2022. As no candidate won a majority of seats in the electoral college in the first round, a second round runoff is due to be held between 4 to 7 November 2022.

The first round saw a lead for frontrunner Vivien Vallette of ASE with 29.51% of the popular vote and 207 seats in the electoral college, followed in electoral college seats by Georg Torleif Årbakke of ACDE with 173. However, Årbakke came third in terms of the popular vote, with 22.12%, compared to the Avant candidate Emilia Koopmann with 22.32% of the popular vote, but 168 electoral college seats. This was a matter of controversy during the election, although Koopmann did concede. The three main parties were followed by António de Armas of MNED with 10.00% of the popular vote and 71 electoral seats, Brine Ó Scolaidhe of MVE with 6.65% and 50 seats, Amelia Ifriu of GRM with 5.48% and 43 seats, and Ạþelviġne Vycces of AEFR with 2.16% and 14 seats. No other candidate secured seats in the electoral college, and as no candidate secured a majority of 363 seats, a runoff was called, with Vallette and Årbakke advancing to the second round.

Electoral system

The Euclean President is elected in an indirect election with an electoral college of 725 members. Each member state of the Euclean Community sends a slate of electors to vote for the president with the number of electors being determined by the population of each member state and equal to the number of MEPs the state sends to the Euclean Parliament. The electors are decided through the popular vote, with voters in each member state voting for a preferred candidate. Electors are split on the candidates they vote for in proportion to their popular vote percentage according to the D'Hondt method. If no candidate in wins a simple majority of 363 electoral college votes in the first round, a second round is organised among the two candidates with the most electors.

State Population Electorate College votes
 Alsland 11,384,499 9,000,564 23
 Amathia 35,852,332 26,889,249 71
 Azmara 10,029,100 8,585,237 20
Blostland 6,192,106 4,334,474 12
Borland 12,325,000 9,847,010 25
 Caldia 9,257,180 7,495,142 18
Template:Country data Estmere 57,301,500 42,427,193 114
 Gaullica 87,176,289 62,087,226 173
 Hennehouwe 15,400,000 12,159,646 31
 Kesselbourg 2,849,000 2,026,522 6
 Paretia 31,203,301 24,503,103 62
 Scovern 27,003,197 21,617,825 54
 Werania 58,579,684 46,615,772 116
Total 364,553,188 277,588,963 725

First round

Primaries

ASE primary

Socialist Alternative for Euclea
Vivien Vallette
PSD - Gaullica
Sebastian Kurz (2018-02-28) (cropped).jpg
Foreign and Global Affairs Commissioner
(2019–present)

The Socialist Alternative for Euclea held a primary to determine their presidential candidate using an electoral college. The contest was won by Vivien Vallette, the incumbent Foreign and Global Affairs Commissioner.

Campaigning for the primary began when Hermansdohter declared her intention to seek the nomination on 23 January 2022, but did not begin in earnest until June 2022, with Vallette announcing his long-rumoured candidacy on 10 June 2022 and van Bleiswijk declaring on 24 June 2022. The primary campaign focused heavily on the strength of incumbent governing parties, who had more seats in the college, including the Estmerish Progressive Social Democrats, which was seen as an unknown quantity. All candidates made attempts to court the favour of the PSD and other governing parties, such as supporting Zoe Halivar's Euclean tax coordination policy.

The final vote of the 151 member electoral college was held on 10 July 2022. Vallette secured an absolute majority of 85 electors, including those of the governing Estmerish PSD, Gaullican PSD and Caldish PSD and the influential opposition Social Democrats of Paretia, and was nominated on behalf of the ASE. Hermansdohter and van Bleiswijk both conceded, and urged the party to unite around Vallette.

Defeated in primary

ACDE primary

ACDE logo.png
Alliance of Conservatives and Democrats for Euclea
Georg Torleif Årbakke
LFP - Scovern
Lars Løkke Rasmussen (2009).jpg
Premier of Scovern
(2009–2013)

The Alliance of Conservatives and Democrats for Euclea held a primary on 20 August 2022. The only candidate was Georg Torleif Årbakke, a former Premier of Scovern, who was nominated as the ACDE candidate after a unanimous vote among the leaders of the member parties. This is in accordance with the unwritten rule of the ACDE primaries, in which other candidates drop out prior to the official vote in a show of unity.

Årbakke was not unopposed in his campaign for the nomination. The campaign began when Årbakke announced his candidacy on 28 July, followed by the announcement of Alan Baskerville's candidacy on 29 June. Patrice Laurent, Hepke Veltman and Eimile Ní Meachair declared their candidacies on the 1, 3 and 8 July respectively. Baskerville quickly emerged as the frontrunner, and campaigned primarily on his policy of a "two-track" Euclea to unite the ACDE on Euclean integration. Årbakke instead took a Euclosceptic view in opposition to further integration. It eventually became clear that Årbakke was the only candidate capable of beating Baskerville, and he secured the support of Ní Meachair and Veltman. Baskerville nevetheless retained a strong lead over Årbakke in terms of party support until the final week of the campaign, when the National Consolidation Party's Anton Raicevich controversially moved to oppose Baskerville. Baskerville withdrew his candidacy two days before the official primary.

Dropped out

Avant primary

Forward Euclea Logo.png
Forward Euclea
Emilia Koopmann
EO - Werania
Emilia Koopmann.jpeg
Premier of Werania
(2011–2013)

Forward Euclea uses a direct election among party members. The primary was held in two rounds, the first held between 22 and 28 July 2022, and the second held between 15 and 20 August 2022. The second round was between Liekele Ykema and Emilia Koopmann, the highest ranked candidates from the first round, with former Premier of Werania Emilia Koopmann winning with 56.72% of the vote.

The campaign informally began on 23 January 2022, when Ykema announced his candidacy. It was not until later in the year that other candidates declared; Asker Jonssun on 1 April, Cliamain Mac Diarmada on 17 June, Zacharie Blanchard on 28 June, Koopmann on 1 July and finally Rosaline Perrier on 4 July. Initially, Perrier and Ykema were seen as the frontrunners, with Koopmann and Blanchard seen as too disconnected from the party base. It became quickly clear, however, that the nature of the party membership had changed drastically, with the membership of Koopmann's Euclean Werania and Blanchard's PRCP both dwarfing that of the other Avant parties. The race narrowed between Koopmann, Blanchard and Ykema quickly, with Perrier struggling to keep momentum.

Eventually, Ykema was seen as the best chance to beat Koopmann for older members, and was seen as a more tenured right-leaning alternative to Blanchard. In the first round, Ykema came a distant second to Koopmann, with Blanchard a strong third and Perrier languishing in fourth. Ykema advanced to the second round against Koopmann. The debate of the second round centred around whether Avant should focus on courting voters to the left or right of centre. Koopmann was derided by some as a crypto-socialist. In the end, Koopmann won the second round with a strong vote share, and Ykema conceded defeat.

Defeated in primary

MNED primary

Candidate(s) Date of birth Notable positions Home country Party Announced
Official portrait of Sir Graham Brady MP crop 2.jpg
Hank Hankssun
(1961-07-23)23 July 1961
(age 60)
Leader of the People's Party
(2004–present)
Other offices
Azmaran Flag.png
Azmara
Azmaran People's Party.png
People's Party
Euclean Democratic Action
15 June 2022
Lietuvas parlamenta priekšsēdētāja vizīte Latvijā (cropped).jpg
Simas Nekrošius
(1957-12-13)13 December 1957
(age 64)
Minister of Social Affairs and Employment
(2019–2022)
Other offices
  • Member of the House of Deputies since 2007.
Flag of Werania.png
Werania
Democratic Alternative.png
Democratic Alternative
Euclean Democratic Action
18 June 2022
Santiago Abascal 2022 (cropped).jpg
António de Armas
(1976-12-15)15 December 1976
(age 46)
Foreign Affairs Minister of Paretia
(2021–present)
Other offices
Paretianflag.png
Paretia
VicPopLogo.png
Popular Victory
Alliance for the Euclean Nations
6 July 2022

MVE primary

Candidate(s) Date of birth Notable positions Home country Party Announced
Brine Ó Slatiascaig.jpg
Brine Ó Scolaidhe
(1952-05-07)7 May 1952
(age 70)
Minister of Finance
(1997–2002)
Other offices
GlytterFlag.png
Caldia
Greens Logo.png
Green Party
Euclean Greens - Ecologist Party
24 June 2022
OEB2007 Patricia Ceysens (cropped).jpg
Carolijn Kippers
(1965-05-06)6 May 1965
(age 57)
Minister of Foreign Affairs
(2019–Present)
Other offices
Flag of Kesselbourg.png
Kesselbourg
Ecolo Logo.svg
Ecologist Party
Euclean Greens - Ecologist Party
1 July 2022

GRM primary

Candidate(s) Date of birth Notable positions Home country Party Announced
Alina Gorghiu 44.jpg
Amelia Ifriu
(1978-09-12)12 September 1978
(age 43)
Member of the Euclean Parliament
(2019–present)
Other offices
Flag of Belarus (1918, 1991–1995).svg
Amathia
SUR2.png
Left United for the Republic
Revolutionary Left Party
11 July 2022
2019-10-27 Wahlabend Thüringen by Sandro Halank–73.jpg
Florian Engelberger
(1956-04-04)4 April 1956
(age 66)
Member of the Euclean Parliament
(2014–present)
Other offices
  • National Coordinator of the Weranian Union of Railway Officials and Trainees from 2007-2014.
Flag of Werania.png
Werania
OSAI logo.png
Weranic Section of the Workers' International
Revolutionary Left Party
16 June 2022
Portrait d'Olivier Faure.jpg
Christophe Robiquet
(1973-08-14)14 August 1973
(age 48)
Member of the Euclean Parliament
(2013–present)
Flag of the Brabantine Revolution.svg
Gaullica
Section Gaulloise de l'Internationale Ouvrière
Revolutionary Left Party
12 July 2022

AEFR primary

Candidate(s) Date of birth Notable positions Home country Party Announced
Official portrait of Lord Ryder of Wensum crop 2.1.jpg
Ạþelviġne Vycces
(1948-11-03)3 November 1948
(age 74)
Leader of the Alliance for a Federal and Regionalist Euclea
(2019–present)
Other offices
Estmere
Party of the Swathish Logo.png
Party of the Swathish
Free Democratic Alliance
10 July 2022
Touker Suleyman.jpg
Marcello Schipani
(1954-02-11)11 February 1954
(age 68)
Co-Leader of Vox Estmere
(2019–present)
Other offices
Estmere
Vox Estmere logo.png
Vox Estmere
Vox Euclea
3 June 2022
Magdalena Rzeczkowska 6 (cropped).jpg
Mathilde Pazany
(1974-03-01)1 March 1974
(age 48)
State President of Casavie
(2019–present)
Other offices
Flag of the Brabantine Revolution.svg
Gaullica
Test1.png
Independent
Vox Euclea
15 July 2022

Candidates

The deadline for candidates to apply for the ballot paper ended on the 28 August 2022. Candidates had to recieve a necessary 25,000 signatures from at least 8 of the 13 member states. On 31 August 2022 the Euclean Electoral Authority published the names of the 10 candidates who had recieved the valid number of signatures. The order of the list was determined by drawing lots.

Campaign

Second round

Candidates

Candidates in the second round
Vivien Vallette Georg Torleif Årbakke
ASE ACDE
Sebastian Kurz (2018-02-28) (cropped).jpg
Lars Løkke Rasmussen (2009).jpg
Foreign and Global Affairs Commissioner
(2019–present)
Premier of Scovern
(2009–2013)

Campaign

Endorsements

Ifriu stated her opposition to Årbakke without endorsing Vallette. Koopmann initially refrained from endorsing either candidate, before endorsing a vote for Vallette on 2 November.

Candidate Endorsement
Emilia Koopmann Vallette
António de Armas Årbakke
Brine Ó Scolaidhe Vallette
Amelia Ifriu Against Årbakke
Ạþelviġne Vycces Vallette

Opinion polling

First round

Second round

Results

e • d 
Candidate Party 1st round
7-10 October 2022
2nd round
4-7 November 2022
Votes % EV Votes % EV
Vivien Vallette Socialist Alternative for Euclea ASE 54,851,579 29.51 207
Georg Torleif Årbakke Alliance of Conservatives and Democrats for Euclea ACDE 41,109,451 22.12 173
Emilia Koopmann Forward Euclea Avant 41,484,222 22.32 168
António de Armas Movement for a New Democratic Euclea MNED 18,580,406 10.00 71
Brine Ó Scolaidhe Green and Ecologist Movement MVE 12,353,628 6.65 50
Amelia Ifriu Mixed Radical Left GRM 10,178,801 5.48 43
Ạþelviġne Vycces Alliance for a Federal and Regionalist Euclea AEFR 4,009,103 2.16 14
oth 1 809,440 0.44 0
oth 2 252,709 0.14 0
oth 3 91,849 0.05 0
Total 183,721,188 100.00 725 100.00 725
Valid votes 183,721,188 98.84
Blank ballots 637,676 0.34
Spoilt ballots 1,521,035 0.82
Turnout 185,879,899 66.96
Not voted 91,709,064 33.04
Registered voters 277,588,963 277,588,963
Source: Euclean Electoral Authority
Vote share – 1st round
Vivien Vallette
29.51%
Emilia Koopmann
22.32%
Georg Torleif Årbakke
22.12%
António de Armas
10.00%
Brine Ó Scolaidhe
6.65%
Amelia Ifriu
5.48%
Ạþelviġne Vycces
2.16%
Other candidates
0.62%

Aftermath