2022 Euclean presidential election: Difference between revisions
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===Campaign=== | ===Campaign=== | ||
====Årbakke==== | |||
Årbakke's campaign in the second round focused primarily on gathering Avant voters that had been lost in the first round. In several large states including [[Estmere]] and [[Gaullica]], Årbakke failed to surpass Avant candidate Koopmann in seats won, relying primarily on large seat differents in his home state of [[Scovern]] and [[Werania]] to progress to the second round. The campaign emphasised in particular the youth and inexperience of opposition candidate Vallette, and Årbakke's personal experience in combatting economic recession in the mid-2000s as a response to predictions of an imminent continent-wide recession as early as 2023. | |||
===Endorsements=== | ===Endorsements=== | ||
Ifriu stated her opposition to Årbakke without endorsing Vallette. Koopmann initially refrained from endorsing either candidate, before endorsing a vote for Vallette on 2 November. | Ifriu stated her opposition to Årbakke without endorsing Vallette. Koopmann initially refrained from endorsing either candidate, before endorsing a vote for Vallette on 2 November. | ||
Revision as of 18:01, 4 November 2022
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725 members of the electoral college 363 electoral votes needed to win | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 66.96% (first round)  3.72 pp | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Map of the results of the Euclean presidential election by member state in the first round | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2022 Euclean presidential election is the 4th quinquennial election of the President of the Euclean Community, with the first round held between 7 and 10 October 2022. As no candidate won a majority of seats in the electoral college in the first round, a second round runoff is due to be held between 4 to 7 November 2022.
The first round saw a lead for frontrunner Vivien Vallette of ASE with 29.51% of the popular vote and 207 seats in the electoral college, followed in electoral college seats by Georg Torleif Årbakke of ACDE with 173. However, Årbakke came third in terms of the popular vote, with 22.12%, compared to the Avant candidate Emilia Koopmann with 22.32% of the popular vote, but 168 electoral college seats. This was a matter of controversy during the election, although Koopmann did concede. The three main parties were followed by António de Armas of MNED with 10.00% of the popular vote and 71 electoral seats, Brine Ó Scolaidhe of MVE with 6.65% and 50 seats, Amelia Ifriu of GRM with 5.48% and 43 seats, and Ạþelviġne Vycces of AEFR with 2.16% and 14 seats. No other candidate secured seats in the electoral college, and as no candidate secured a majority of 363 seats, a runoff was called, with Vallette and Årbakke advancing to the second round.
Electoral system
The Euclean President is elected in an indirect election with an electoral college of 725 members. Each member state of the Euclean Community sends a slate of electors to vote for the president with the number of electors being determined by the population of each member state and equal to the number of MEPs the state sends to the Euclean Parliament. The electors are decided through the popular vote, with voters in each member state voting for a preferred candidate. Electors are split on the candidates they vote for in proportion to their popular vote percentage according to the D'Hondt method. If no candidate in wins a simple majority of 363 electoral college votes in the first round, a second round is organised among the two candidates with the most electors.
| State | Population | Electorate | College votes |
|---|---|---|---|
 Alsland
|
11,384,499 | 9,000,564 | 23 |
 Amathia
|
35,852,332 | 26,889,249 | 71 |
 Azmara
|
10,029,100 | 8,585,237 | 20 |
 Blostland
|
6,192,106 | 4,334,474 | 12 |
 Borland
|
12,325,000 | 9,847,010 | 25 |
 Caldia
|
9,257,180 | 7,495,142 | 18 |
| Template:Country data Estmere | 57,301,500 | 42,427,193 | 114 |
 Gaullica
|
87,176,289 | 62,087,226 | 173 |
 Hennehouwe
|
15,400,000 | 12,159,646 | 31 |
 Kesselbourg
|
2,849,000 | 2,026,522 | 6 |
 Paretia
|
31,203,301 | 24,503,103 | 62 |
 Scovern
|
27,003,197 | 21,617,825 | 54 |
 Werania
|
58,579,684 | 46,615,772 | 116 |
| Total | 364,553,188 | 277,588,963 | 725 |
First round
Primaries
ASE primary
| Socialist Alternative for Euclea |
| Vivien Vallette PSD - Gaullica |
|---|
_(cropped).jpg) |
| Foreign and Global Affairs Commissioner (2019–present) |
The Socialist Alternative for Euclea held a primary to determine their presidential candidate using an electoral college. The contest was won by Vivien Vallette, the incumbent Foreign and Global Affairs Commissioner.
Campaigning for the primary began when Hermansdohter declared her intention to seek the nomination on 23 January 2022, but did not begin in earnest until June 2022, with Vallette announcing his long-rumoured candidacy on 10 June 2022 and van Bleiswijk declaring on 24 June 2022. The primary campaign focused heavily on the strength of incumbent governing parties, who had more seats in the college, including the Estmerish Progressive Social Democrats, which was seen as an unknown quantity. All candidates made attempts to court the favour of the PSD and other governing parties, such as supporting Zoe Halivar's Euclean tax coordination policy.
The final vote of the 151 member electoral college was held on 10 July 2022. Vallette secured an absolute majority of 85 electors, including those of the governing Estmerish PSD, Gaullican PSD and Caldish PSD and the influential opposition Social Democrats of Paretia, and was nominated on behalf of the ASE. Hermansdohter and van Bleiswijk both conceded, and urged the party to unite around Vallette.
Defeated in primary
- Niina Hermansdohter (Arbeiderpartii - Azmara): Hermansdohter is the incumbent High Commissioner of the Euclean Community since 2019 and a former Thingspeaker of Azmara from 2008 to 2009. She came second in the electoral college vote, with 41 electors. In addition to her own party, she had secured the backing of the Amathian League of Equalists and Democrats, the Borish New Left and Workers' Party, and the Scovernois Social Labour Party. Hermansdohter suggested that she would be open to serving as a Euclean commissioner in any future administration.
- Rupert van Bleiswijk (SAP - Hennehouwe): Van Bleiswijk is the incumbent Premier of Hennehouwe since 2017 and leader of the SAP from 2015 until November 2022. He came third in the electoral college vote, with 25 electors. He had the support of his own party, in addition to the Alslandic Progressive Alliance and Kirenian People's Party, the Kesselbourgish Labour Party and the Socialist Workers' Party of Werania. After losing the nomination, it was reported that van Bleiswijk was seeking the position of High Commissioner in a potential Vallette administration.
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ACDE primary
 |
| Georg Torleif Årbakke LFP - Scovern |
|---|
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| Premier of Scovern (2009–2013) |
The Alliance of Conservatives and Democrats for Euclea held a primary on 20 August 2022. The only candidate was Georg Torleif Årbakke, a former Premier of Scovern, who was nominated as the ACDE candidate after a unanimous vote among the leaders of the member parties. This is in accordance with the unwritten rule of the ACDE primaries, in which other candidates drop out prior to the official vote in a show of unity.
Årbakke was not unopposed in his campaign for the nomination. The campaign began when Årbakke announced his candidacy on 28 July, followed by the announcement of Alan Baskerville's candidacy on 29 June. Patrice Laurent, Hepke Veltman and Eimile Ní Meachair declared their candidacies on the 1, 3 and 8 July respectively. Baskerville quickly emerged as the frontrunner, and campaigned primarily on his policy of a "two-track" Euclea to unite the ACDE on Euclean integration. Årbakke instead took a Euclosceptic view in opposition to further integration. It eventually became clear that Årbakke was the only candidate capable of beating Baskerville, and he secured the support of Ní Meachair and Veltman. Baskerville nevetheless retained a strong lead over Årbakke in terms of party support until the final week of the campaign, when the National Consolidation Party's Anton Raicevich controversially moved to oppose Baskerville. Baskerville withdrew his candidacy two days before the official primary.
Dropped out
- Alan Baskerville (SDU - Estmere): Baskerville served as Legal Affairs and Rule of Law Commissioner from 2019 to 2021, and as President of Estmere from 2003 to 2008. He was considered the frontrunner for much of the primary, and his withdrawal was a major upset in the campaign. Baskerville has not made any official comment since Årbakke's official nomination.
- Patrice Laurent (CG - Gaullica): Laurent served as Federal Minister for the Environment from 2019 to 2020, and was the Gaullican Conservative candidate in the 2020 Gaullican presidential election.
- Hepke Veltman (NB - Alsland): Veltman is the incumbent President of Alsland since 2020, and was Premier of Alsland from 2018 to 2020. He supported Årbakke after dropping out.
- Eimile Ní Meachair (PN - Caldia): Ní Meachair has been a Member of the Euclean Parliament since 2019. She supported Årbakke after dropping out.
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Avant primary
 |
| Emilia Koopmann EO - Werania |
|---|
 |
| Premier of Werania (2011–2013) |
Forward Euclea uses a direct election among party members. The primary was held in two rounds, the first held between 22 and 28 July 2022, and the second held between 15 and 20 August 2022. The second round was between Liekele Ykema and Emilia Koopmann, the highest ranked candidates from the first round, with former Premier of Werania Emilia Koopmann winning with 56.72% of the vote.
The campaign informally began on 23 January 2022, when Ykema announced his candidacy. It was not until later in the year that other candidates declared; Asker Jonssun on 1 April, Cliamain Mac Diarmada on 17 June, Zacharie Blanchard on 28 June, Koopmann on 1 July and finally Rosaline Perrier on 4 July. Initially, Perrier and Ykema were seen as the frontrunners, with Koopmann and Blanchard seen as too disconnected from the party base. It became quickly clear, however, that the nature of the party membership had changed drastically, with the membership of Koopmann's Euclean Werania and Blanchard's PRCP both dwarfing that of the other Avant parties. The race narrowed between Koopmann, Blanchard and Ykema quickly, with Perrier struggling to keep momentum.
Eventually, Ykema was seen as the best chance to beat Koopmann for older members, and was seen as a more tenured right-leaning alternative to Blanchard. In the first round, Ykema came a distant second to Koopmann, with Blanchard a strong third and Perrier languishing in fourth. Ykema advanced to the second round against Koopmann. The debate of the second round centred around whether Avant should focus on courting voters to the left or right of centre. Koopmann was derided by some as a crypto-socialist. In the end, Koopmann won the second round with a strong vote share, and Ykema conceded defeat.
Defeated in primary
- Liekele Ykema (LA - Alsland): Ykema previously served as Premier of Alsland from 2010 to 2018 and emerged as the main opponent to Koopmann in the race, advancing to the second round. He secured 23.23% of the vote in the first round, and 43.28% in the second. He conceded to Koopmann and supported her campaign. He then was asked to form another government in Alsland later in 2022.
- Cliamain Mac Diarmada (Saoirse - Caldia): Mac Diarmada served as Euclozone, Financial Stability, and Financial Services Commissioner from 2017 to 2019. He was eliminated during the first round with only 1.74% of the vote.
- Zacharie Blanchard (PRCP - Gaullica): Blanchard served as Federal Minister for Defence from 2018 to 2019, and was notable for having helped form the PRCP in 2019 with Coralie Barreau. His party emerged as a major new player within Avant. He came third in the first round, with 18.41% of the vote.
- Rosaline Perrier (Reform - Estmere}): Perrier served as Secretary of State for the Euclean Community from 2018 to 2021. Initially considered a major candidate in the contest, her campaign lost momentum to Koopmann, Blanchard and Ykema, and she finished the first round in fourth with 12.44% of the vote.
- Asker Jonssun (Gyldflam - Azmara}): Jonssun has been a Member of the Euclean Parliament from 2019 to present. He came fifth in the first round with 2.48% of the vote.
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MNED primary
| Movement for a New Democratic Euclea |
| António de Armas VP - Paretia |
|---|
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| Foreign Affairs Minister of Paretia (2021–present) |
The Movement for a New Democratic Euclea held a primary to determine their presidential candidate, which was won by António de Armas, the incumbent Foreign Affairs Minister of Paretia, a close ally of Paretian Premier Isilda Cerqueira. He beat Hank Hankssun of the Azmaran Folkspartii and Simas Nekrošius of the Weranian Democratic Alternative.
Defeated in primary
- Hank Hankssun (Folkspartii - Azmara): Hankssun has been leader of the Folkspartii since 2004. He condeded to De Armas.
- Simas Nekrošius (Democratic Alternative - Werania): Nekrošius served as Minister of Social Affairs and Employment of Werania from 2019 to 2022. He conceded to De Armas.
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MVE primary
 |
| Brine Ó Scolaidhe G - Caldia |
|---|
 |
| Minister of Finance of Caldia (1997–2002) |
The Green and Ecologist Movement held a primary with a popular vote to determine their presidential candidate. The primary was won by Brine Ó Scolaidhe of the Caldish Green Party, a former Minister of Finance. He defeated Carolijn Kippers of the Kesselbourgish Ecologist Party.
Defeated in primary
- Carolijn Kippers (E - Kesselbourg): Kippers has been Minister of Foreign Affairs of Kesselbourg since 2019. She condeded to Ó Scolaidhe.
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GRM primary
| Candidate(s) | Date of birth | Notable positions | Home country | Party | Announced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
12 September 1978 (age 43) |
Member of the Euclean Parliament (2019–present) Other offices
|
.svg){kind=small} |
 Revolutionary Left Party |
11 July 2022 | |
 |
4 April 1956 (age 66) |
Member of the Euclean Parliament (2014–present) Other offices
|
 |
 Revolutionary Left Party |
16 June 2022 | |
 |
14 August 1973 (age 48) |
Member of the Euclean Parliament (2013–present) Other offices
|
 |
Section Gaulloise de l'Internationale Ouvrière Revolutionary Left Party |
12 July 2022 | |
AEFR primary
| Candidate(s) | Date of birth | Notable positions | Home country | Party | Announced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
3 November 1948 (age 74) |
Leader of the Alliance for a Federal and Regionalist Euclea (2019–present) Other offices
|
Estmere |  Free Democratic Alliance |
10 July 2022 | |
 |
11 February 1954 (age 68) |
Co-Leader of Vox Estmere (2019–present) Other offices
|
Estmere |  Vox Euclea |
3 June 2022 | |
.jpg) |
1 March 1974 (age 48) |
State President of Casavie (2019–present) Other offices
|
|
 Vox Euclea |
15 July 2022 | |
Candidates
The deadline for candidates to apply for the ballot paper ended on the 28 August 2022. Candidates had to recieve a necessary 25,000 signatures from at least 8 of the 13 member states. On 31 August 2022 the Euclean Electoral Authority published the names of the 10 candidates who had recieved the valid number of signatures. The order of the list was determined by drawing lots.
- Raphael Glucksmann (cropped).jpg
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Campaign
Second round
Candidates
| Candidates in the second round | |
| Vivien Vallette | Georg Torleif Årbakke |
|---|---|
| ASE | ACDE |
|
|
| Foreign and Global Affairs Commissioner (2019–present) |
Premier of Scovern (2009–2013) |
Campaign
Årbakke
Årbakke's campaign in the second round focused primarily on gathering Avant voters that had been lost in the first round. In several large states including Estmere and Gaullica, Årbakke failed to surpass Avant candidate Koopmann in seats won, relying primarily on large seat differents in his home state of Scovern and Werania to progress to the second round. The campaign emphasised in particular the youth and inexperience of opposition candidate Vallette, and Årbakke's personal experience in combatting economic recession in the mid-2000s as a response to predictions of an imminent continent-wide recession as early as 2023.
Endorsements
Ifriu stated her opposition to Årbakke without endorsing Vallette. Koopmann initially refrained from endorsing either candidate, before endorsing a vote for Vallette on 2 November.
| Candidate | Endorsement | |
|---|---|---|
| Emilia Koopmann | Vallette | |
| António de Armas | Årbakke | |
| Brine Ó Scolaidhe | Vallette | |
| Amelia Ifriu | Against Årbakke | |
| Ạþelviġne Vycces | Vallette | |
Opinion polling
First round
Second round
Results
| Candidate | Party | 1st round 7-10 October 2022 |
2nd round 4-7 November 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | EV | Votes | % | EV | ||||
| Vivien Vallette | Socialist Alternative for Euclea | ASE | 54,851,579 | 29.51 | 207 | ||||
| Georg Torleif Årbakke | Alliance of Conservatives and Democrats for Euclea | ACDE | 41,109,451 | 22.12 | 173 | ||||
| Emilia Koopmann | Forward Euclea | Avant | 41,484,222 | 22.32 | 168 | ||||
| António de Armas | Movement for a New Democratic Euclea | MNED | 18,580,406 | 10.00 | 71 | ||||
| Brine Ó Scolaidhe | Green and Ecologist Movement | MVE | 12,353,628 | 6.65 | 50 | ||||
| Amelia Ifriu | Mixed Radical Left | GRM | 10,178,801 | 5.48 | 43 | ||||
| Ạþelviġne Vycces | Alliance for a Federal and Regionalist Euclea | AEFR | 4,009,103 | 2.16 | 14 | ||||
| Jacques Mignard | Stop the War | AG | 809,440 | 0.44 | 0 | ||||
| Adèle Harnie | Friends of the Animals | AA | 252,709 | 0.14 | 0 | ||||
| Ron Duclos | Party for Royal Anarchism and Impossibilist Territorialism | PARTI | 91,849 | 0.05 | 0 | ||||
| Total | 183,721,188 | 100.00 | 725 | 100.00 | 725 | ||||
| Valid votes | 183,721,188 | 98.84 | |||||||
| Blank ballots | 637,676 | 0.34 | |||||||
| Spoilt ballots | 1,521,035 | 0.82 | |||||||
| Turnout | 185,879,899 | 66.96 | |||||||
| Not voted | 91,709,064 | 33.04 | |||||||
| Registered voters | 277,588,963 | 277,588,963 | |||||||
| Source: Euclean Electoral Authority | |||||||||